What will the average local eat tomorrow?

Contributed by ANDY WONG – 

Hawker Rentals Are Sky High, So What Can We Eat?

With another massive rent-hike, another cheap local eatery goes out of business. The government has made a point of telling us that while cost of living may be high for expatriates, things are still very affordable for the so-called “average local” – but this logic is problematic.

Firstly, it is the cheap local eateries that cannot afford to carry on in high-cost Singapore. Secondly, the distinction between expat and local cost of living depends on a very narrow world view. With an eye on income inequality more generally, it seems clear that businesses catering to the lower cost “average local” market are the ones being squeezed out, and the less well-off citizens are the ones suffering.

The Two Faces of Singapore

average local

$3 roast duck with rice vs. $16 gourmet thin crust pizza?

One face of Singapore is represented by a simple plate of roast duck with rice costing $3. The other face is a gourmet thin crust pizza costing $16. Both exist side by side 0n Tiong Bahru’s Eng Hoon Street, separated by just a few hundred metres. The roast duck stall is at the soon-to-close Jin Tian Eating House, and the pizza outlet is aptly named Two Face Pizza and Tap Room. The price disparity between the two establishments is significant – Two Face Pizza is over five times more expensive for dinner – but this doesn’t seem to hurt its business. Walk past any evening and the place is likely to be packed – mostly with Singaporeans.

average local

What will the poor have for dinner when the local hawker stalls are biting the dust one by one?

There is a simple economic lesson behind the fact that a $16 pizza sells well in Tiong Bahru. To be blunt, selling a $3 roast duck rice on the same street is an inefficient way to make money by comparison. Putting aside any personal preference for roast duck, a landlord who wants to maximise his return on investment is likely to realise that greater revenues and higher rents are available to other businesses that can deliver the premium-price experience. And this seems to be a lesson that has been learned on Eng Hoon Street. Jin Tian Eating House is closing down because the landlord increased their rent by a whopping 50% to $12,000, after seeing another coffee shop over the road renting out its stalls for $20,000 per month.

Expats, Locals–Rich and Poor

The government has gone to some lengths to convince that the cost of living remains very affordable for the “average local”. But with cheap local eateries dropping like flies (one, two) in the face of rent hikes, for how long will that remain true – if it ever was? And despite Tiong Bahru being popular among expats, the dinner crowd at Two Face is predominantly Singaporean, betraying the false dichotomy that runs through government thinking on cost of living, that expats pay high prices, but locals do not. In land-scarce Singapore, the rich and the poor are competing for limited resources, and as soon as there are enough residents with enough disposable income to pay for the more expensive eating options, cheaper alternatives are likely to be squeezed out of the market. This is the root cause of Jin Tian Eating House’s demise, and it is the average local who loses an affordable dinner option as a result.

It has been reported many times that income inequality is particularly high in Singapore, a fact that exacerbates the cost of living issue. In a world of total equality, there would be no rich and poor, and the spending power of the rich would therefore not exist to push up the value of limited resources such as land and rentals. Conversely, greater inequality like we do see in Singapore leads to a larger market for more expensive goods, and increases the chances that cheaper alternative businesses will not be able to compete. Obviously it is not just in the market for hawker stall rentals that we see this story played out. From private property to certificates of entitlement and many other goods, prices for scarce resources have increased dramatically in recent years, pushed up further by the sort of millionaire and billionaire immigrants that PM Lee is apparently so keen to attract to Singapore.

average local

We have millionaires among us, but the wealth in Singapore is spread very unevenly

To me this endless courting of the rich does not seem sustainable. We know Singapore is already very rich on paper, but the wealth is spread very unevenly. The challenge now should not be to keep making the pie bigger, but to share it out more fairly. Reducing income inequality would increase the relative spending power of the average local, making businesses such as Jin Tian Eating House more sustainable. Conversely it may reduce slightly the market for gourmet pizzas but probably not very much. The real impact should be aimed at the very high-end, making private property and COEs more affordable to aspirational middle-income families – ones whose dreams of achieving the 5 Cs have become increasingly unattainable in recent years.

Surely a vision for Singapore where wealth is shared more equally and where the average local has greater spending power is preferable to the current reality of extreme inequality.

By Andy Wong

This article first appeared on the author’s blog here.

Related Yak & Crow articles:

Millionaires in Singapore–A success story?

Do Singaporeans eat tomatoes? Let’s understand cost of living

 

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Comments (02)

  1. My hubby and I have been contentedly eating $2.40 economic mixed rice almost daily for the past seven years. Inflation is not within our control, but living frugally and investing in stuff like health insurance are within our means. What do you think?

  2. Ya lor. What to do? In my student days, a plate of chicken rice used to cost $2. Now where to find such cheap eats? Food costs are rising but our salaries stay the same.

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